MNF Week 7 -Texans at Broncos – @TouchdownTips

We ended yesterday about 13 points up thanks to a few nice little winners, The Giants won by 7, which was nice as it’s exactly what I said in the write up ‘I personally think the Giants will win, and it’ll be around a 7 point difference.’ It’s always when things go to plan. Unfortunately Beckham was garbage, he was reportedly kept aside in warm ups, and nursing an injury which i’m guessing affected his play on the field. It was not a thrilling encounter for the Twickenham crowd, which was apparently louder than ever for an international series match. Jacquizz Rodgers and AJ Green landed my NAP and NB double comfortably, Rodgers hit his yardage after about 20 mins, and AJ Green was always going to score against that Browns defence, so that landed another healthy amount of profit. Frustratingly I had a few guys on my shortlist that I avoided who scored, Tyreek Hill for the Chiefs and Mike Davis for the Niners. But oh well, still made some decent money.

Tonight sees Brock Osweiler return to mile high after leaving in the off season, apparently $16m a year wasn’t enough for this completely average ball chucker, and he moved on to Houston for $18m a year, where he has continued his distinctly average career. He was next to useless in Denver, and hasn’t got much further than that. His former defenders at Denver seem to have been a little offended by Brock avoiding the ring ceremony last year and have threatened to “kill him” in this match… Which should be interesting. The Texans spent big in the off season to try and get this team back to their city in February for the Superbowl. But it’s not really clicked for them. They’re top of their division, but their division stinks. Lamar Miller finally got into the end zone last week (1 rushing and 1 rec. TD) after some frustrating weeks for his fantasy owners, he’s been putting up some decent numbers without an end product. If Miller fails to turn up or fumbles then there could be a look in for Alfred Blue. The arrival of Miller and Osweiler has been problematic for DeAndre ‘Nuk’ Hopkins who last year was their only target and he had a cracker, however this year he’s hardly had a touch in comparison. Will Fuller has eaten into his production as well, but has been carrying a hamstring injury, not good for someone whos main skill is his pace, and this week they go against the highly lauded Denver defence, who don’t give up many through the air. One place they do seem to be weak is vs Tight Ends, so that could see CJ Fiedorowicz and Ryan Griffin get some action in the middle of the park. Opposing RBs have also had decent games, so expect Miller to do well.

Denver will have Trevor Siemian under centre, he’s been doing well for the Broncos in an offence that he’s been learning for a year, and he knows how to work it. They started the season concentrating on the run game, CJ Anderson started on fire, he’s been slowly declining in recent weeks though and this week Coach Kubiak said he’d be getting Devontae Booker some more action, the rookie RB looks likely to increase his workload. The Broncos won the first 4 of the season concentrating on that run game, so it looks like they’ll be trying to go back to that. That’s not good for Emmanuel Sanders and Demaryius Thomas, they both requested more play a month or so ago and got it, but they’ve now lost the last 2 and they’ll need to change that trend as the rest of the division has been winning. They’ve got nothing at tight end, so I won’t bother mentioning Virgil Green. As said above, their defence is rather good, and they’re pissed off, this is going to be a long tough night for Osweiler.

Devontae Booker anytime – 13/5 (PP), CJ Fiedorowicz anytime – 11/2 (Skybet), Lamar Miller and CJ Anderson both to score – 5/1 (Skybet) DeAndre Hopkins u68.5yds – 4pts at 10/11 (Skybet)

The usual 2 pts on the first three, 4 on Nuk yards. – 10 points total outlay.

I do like the look of Alfred Blue at 16/1 (Skybet), if it’s a long night for the Texans and Miller isn’t doing it then he may well step in for a goal line carry, and that’s huge odds. I’m gonna chuck a few quid on there, but won’t be recording it for the blog as it’s fairly unlikely.

The Broncos should get the job done, I can’t see the Texans producing much on offence, they Broncos D is just too good.

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