SNF – Week 2 – Game write ups

Cleveland at Baltimore

The Ravens looked like a defence to be feared giving Andy Dalton a historically bad week in the opener, he posted the 3rd worst QB Rating since they recorded it. They will face a sterner test against a solid Cleveland offensive line, They created very little on offence, but you don’t need to if your defence is that effective. Danny Woodhead misses out, so keep an eye on Javorius ‘Buck’ Allen to take over the pass catching back role (Keep an eye on his anytime TD price – 11/4 on 365). The Browns put up good show against the Steelers last week restricting them to 3 scores and doing a decent job on offence as well. Crowell was worryingly ineffective though and will struggle this week against this team. – RAVENS – But the Browns can cover the handicap of 9 pts.

Buffalo at Carolina

The Panthers did what they needed to do against a poor 49ers team, they will face a tougher defence this week, but I expect them to up their game back at home. Cam had a nice warm up game to stretch his shoulder a little, McCaffrey did well enough, but reports suggest they don’t want to over use him and Jonathon Stewart looked the better runner in their first game. The Bills strolled to an easy win against the worst team in the league last week, so a little tough to judge how well they did. Shady did what was expected in a run first offence, and as predicted Mike Tolbert vultured a touchdown from him, keep an eye on his price again! Tyrod did well with his feet as usual and provided 2 Tds, a much bigger test for them this week so – PANTHERS win. 

Arizona at Indianapolis

The Colts are awful. Truly, truly awful. They’re one of the worst teams in the league without Andrew Luck. Ok, well, with Scott Tolzein they were, I can’t see him getting near the field ever again, surely Jacoby Brissett plays this week? The one plus for them? Marlon Mack looked pretty good. The Cardinals didn’t look much better to be honest, Carson Palmer worryingly poor, and they’re now without the guy who provided nearly all of their offence last year, David Johnson expected to be out for 2-3 months with a wrist injury, Kerwyn Williams seems the logical guy to look at this week, although it will be a committee now. Cardinals 7 favourites on the road. I shall pass on the spread, but CARDINALS surely win here. I’ve already had 3pts on Larry Fitzgerald at 11/10 (5/4 in places, but have him in a double with Marshawn Lynch, so needed to take the 11/10 on Coral) Basically, David Johnson was 60% of the Cardinals whole offense, with him out as well as no.2 WR John Brown, they’re not left with a whole lot. Carson Palmer trusts Fitz and he’s a living legend going up against an awful Colts team. It’s not often I take odds around Even, but I will make an exception here.

Tennessee at Jacksonville

Before the games last week this would have been a guaranteed road win for the Titans, but now I’m not as sure, that Jacksonville pass rush was immense, admittedly against a very poor OL but they will be flying this week in another divisional match for them. I think the Titans will still have too much for the Jags just because they’ve got far more attacking prowess on the field. Corey Davis had himself a good debut and he should improve with a game under his belt.- TITANS – Fournette OVER 61.5 yards – 20/23 (BetVictor) 2pts, I’ve also personally had 0.5 pt on Tommy Bohannon anytime at 20/1 on Bet365. He scored last week after failing with a 1 yard rush. I’m probably reading too much into it, but if they were willing to give him multiple go’s on the goalline then i’m willing to risk half a point at huge odds. 

Philadelphia at Kansas City

An interesting match up here, both teams put up a lot of points and won fairly easily in their week 1 games, we all know the Chiefs did it against the Patriots which was the shock of the week for me, not just the scoreline, but the manner of it. Kareem Hunt announced himself to the world with 246 combined yards, he’ll struggle to do that well against an Eagles side who’s main strength is their front 7 on defence. Wentz really impressed me for the Eagles his mobility was very impressive and he’ll need it to avoid Justin Houston and the rest of the Chiefs pass rush. At home i’ll be taking – CHIEFS – Ertz/Kelce yards/recs. Ertz 48.5 PP. Kelce o4.5 rec. – Zach Ertz o48.5 rec. yards – 5/6 (PP) – 2pts

Minnesota at Pittsburgh

Another intriguing match, The Steelers got the win against the Browns, but it wasn’t impressive, I’m not sure what they were doing with LeVeon Bell, but he did practically nothing, I can only assume they were easing him in after he missed pretty much all of pre-season. Antonio Brown was great for them though with 182 yards in week 1! The Vikings looked brilliant! Their offensive line seem to have gelled giving Sam Bradford the chance to air the ball out a little (- So it looks like Bradford is listed as questionable for tonight with a knee injury, this is a major worry, Case Keenum is the backup, that’s not a good thing!), Adam Thielen got 157 yards in the air while rookie Dalvin Cook added over 100 on the ground and Stefon Diggs looked like he may finally fulfil his potential, he got a double. Unfortunately I’m going to side with the home team *scum* again, but this should be a great game – PITTSBURGH

Chicago at Tampa Bay

Tampa open their season after their game last week was postponed by hosting the Bears. I am really high on the Buccs this year, they have a young up and coming defence, and add weapons on the offence to stretch the field, look for Cameron Brate anytime as I think he’ll be overpriced with bookies probably thinking OJ Howard will be the main man there Well I was wrong there, but you can get 3/1 on Brate anytime and I like that price. The Bears really impressed against the Falcons keeping them to 23 points, and they really should have won the game at the end of the match, their Wrs really let Mike Glennon down. Tarik Cohen was the biggest point on the offensive side of the ball for them, the 5’6” “human joystick” looked great evading tackles and scoring on his debut, look for his odds again this week. Of course i’m going to take TAMPA but won’t be on the spread! – Brate anytime – 3/1 (PP) 2pts

Miami at LA Chargers

The Chargers should have won week 1 but don’t seem to be able to get it together when it really counts, their rookie kicker did actually kick the equalising field goal only for his re-take to be blocked with 4 seconds left in the game to give the Broncos a win. Their pass rush will cause havoc with Cutler and his offensive line and it could be a long night for them. I actually like Cutty but he’s not agile. If he does get the time he’ll probably be aiming for Devante Parker (2/1 is a little skinny for my liking, but Cutler was overwhelming in his praise for him so I wouldn’t be surprised to see him scoring) But the ‘phins have some serious injuries at important parts of their team, If they want to win this game it will be on the shoulders of LONDON-BORN Jay Ajayi more than anyone else. CHARGERS for the win. 

NY Jets at Oakland

This doesn’t require too much effort. The Raiders are going to win. Comfortably. They’re 14 points favourites and they really should beat the spread. RAIDERS – Marshawn Lynch – 11/10 (Coral) – 5pts. Also, 2pts on a Double with Fitzgerald at around 3.4/1 The reasoning for Lynch. They’re playing the Jets. They’re awful and trying to get the #1 pick in the draft next year. This is the final season for the Raiders in Oakland, Lynch is an Oakland native and came out of retirement just to play this season here. He had a good return last week and looked like himself. Surely they’ll be trying to get him the score for everyone involved in the team!? Also Jared Cook anytime – 3/1 (PP) – 2pts The Jets are particularly bad at defending the tight end position. 

Washington at LA Rams

Are the Rams actually any good? Well they stuffed the Colts, but they won’t be the only team to do that, the Colts are a stinking heap of poop. But they did look really good in doing it, Goff was confident and had his safety blanket in Cooper Kupp who went for 76 yards with some magnificent catches. Gurley didn’t do as much as you would have hoped, but did well in the passing game. The Redskins were a shocking mess as well in the opener with a few turnovers and they’ll struggle against a well organised aggressive Rams defence, I took Pryor to go under 86.5 last week, he could have easily beaten it, had a few drops. I am happy to take over 60ish if it’s offered today. The Rams are actually favourites for this game, and I think they’ll win. RAMS

San Francisco at Seattle

Seattle enter as around 14 point favourites as they did last year. And they won that game comfortably, they were pretty woeful against the Packers last week and they’ll need to change it this time around. Rawls will hopefully back and they need a spark in the run game. They don’t seem to trust Eddie Lacy so it will be Chris Carson if Rawls can’t go, keep an eye on him. The Niners didn’t do a whole lot, once behind they basically rested Carlos Hyde which was frustrating to those of us who took his yards! SEAHAWKS

Summary –

  • Marshawn Lynch – 11/10 (Coral) – 5pts NAP
  • Larry Fitzgerald – 11/10 (Coral) – 3pts NB (Can get 5/4 elsewhere but need to use Coral for best odds on the double
  • NAP/NB Double – 3.4/1 – (Coral) 2pts 
  • Lenny Fournette o61.5 rush yards – 20/23 (BetVictor) – 2pts
  • Cameron Brate anytime – 3/1 (PP) – 2pts
  • Jared Cook anytime – 3/1 (PP) – 2pts
  • Ertz o48.5 rec. Yards – 5/6 (PP) – 2pts

18 points outlay. (Added to the 2 from the treble posted yesterday – TREBLE)

Season to date +12.18pts (excluding pending stakes)

Good Luck all who are following,

Adam (@TouchdownTips)

 

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