3 from 4 on Thursday night to start the week which is nice! – I haven’t updated the spread lines on this one, I could have done, and could now while I’m editing, but they’re easy enough to find and the fact that you can now see the movement of the lines from Wednesday to NOW I think is advantageous anyway, so I’ll leave them at Wednesday lines
Of course it’s remembrance day on Sunday this week, if you tweet #SaluteToService the NFL will donate $1 towards their military charities, but over here in the UK, I urge you, please, if you win a few quid this weekend, please donate to the Royal British Legion, I don’t do charity too much, but families were torn apart by the great war, people were forced into service and forced to die in terrible circumstances, 100 years ago it ended, no-one won, the killing just stopped. – https://www.britishlegion.org.uk/get-involved/ways-to-give/make-a-donation/
I don’t ever ask for anything, and I’ve no real links to anyone in the armed forces, as far as I’m aware my family wasn’t largely affected, but it’s the one charity I make sure I give a little to year on year.
Arizona Cardinals (+16.5) @ Kansas City Chiefs: Total – 50
A 3 score underdog. And frankly it’s probably still not enough. The only worry for me would be the Chiefs possibly looking ahead to the game of the season next week in Mexico against the Rams. The Cards looked a little better with their new HC, and the bye week should help them get used to his playbook. Josh Rosen is an actual genius so he should be able to pick it up. I like David Johnsons rec. yards at o37.5 yards at 5/6 on Skybet, and Demetrius Harris anytime at 17/2 also skybet. I actually think Spencer Ware will score in this one, they got him a lot of the ball last week and they’ve given 10 guys a TD so far this season, I think they’ll try and get Spencer one this week. Redzone have given us a rushing line of 33.5, I think he’ll top that.
Spencer Ware anytime – 5/1 (Unibet) – 1pt
Chiefs win, lean to them covering but I won’t ever take 16.5 pts
Jacksonville Jaguars (+3) @ Indianapolis Colts: Total – 47
A month ago the Jags would have probably been 3 point favourites in this game, but a month of being terrible has changed things drastically there, the defense has been poor, the QB play worse, Fournette could finally be back for them and they really need him. The Colts on the other hand have surprised me greatly, Luck has the second most TD passes in the league and hasn’t been sacked in over 150 plays, a massive credit to their O-Line, they will be a little healthier after the bye and frankly I think they’re the better team at this moment in time.
Jack Doyle o35.5 rec. yards – 5/6 skybet – 2 pts
Colts win a tight one.
Miami Dolphins (+9.5) @ Green Bay Packers: Total – 47.5
The Dolphins won a game last week by getting 7 first downs in the entire game. They’re the worst positive record team in the league, surely? well, maybe the Redskins run them close. I’m not exactly high on the Packers and their chances of winning the NFC North, but they’re infinitely better than the Dolphins. Geronimo Allison is out for the season now so MVS takes a big bump up (9/4 anytime on Skybet) If you want a stupid punt then it’s Nick O’Leary anytime at 16/1.
MVS anytime TD – 9/4 (Skybet) – 2 pts
Packers win, probably cover.
Detroit Lions (+6.5) @ Chicago Bears: Total – 44.5
The Lions were a stinking mess last week giving up a ridiculous 10 sacks to the Vikings, I’d imagine Khalil Mack will be back after a 2 week rest for this one so the Lions O-Line will have another big test. A few sacks were on Stafford for holding the ball too long without his boy Golden Tate available for the quick pass, they’ll have to adapt quickly. Trubisky isn’t good. He really isn’t, but the Bears churn out results. If the Lions play like last week with Riddick in the slot then o35.5 combined yards on PP is a steal at 10/11. Jordan Howard at odds against looks a good one too, and big odds? TJ Jones at 9/1 on PP.
Anthony Miller o33.5 rec. yards – 10/11 (PP) – 2 pts
Bears win, nothing on the handicap for me.
New Orleans Saints (-4.5) @ Cincinnati Bengals: Total – 54
The Bengals will be in Orange jerseys and Black pants in this one, they’ve won EVERY GAME in that combination, 6-0! … Annnnnd that’s about the only thing I have to be positive about in this one. AJ Green is out for a couple of weeks, so Boyd will be double-teamed or face Lattimore. Ross, Core, Erickson will have to step up and I’d imagine we’ll see more of Gio Bernard as well, if he was FUCKING FIT we would have done anyway, looks like he’s still not ready to go. The Saints are an unstoppable juggernaut. Kamara, Brees and Thomas will probably all have good games. Ben Watson at 11/4 on Skybet is probably a decent bet, the Bengals stink against the tight end. The tight end on the other side, CJ Uzomah looks a good bet at 7/2 as well.
Saints win – and I’d take them to cover the spread too, although it has risen considerably since the middle of the week.
Atlanta Falcons (-4) @ Cleveland Browns: Total – 51
The Falcons are the better team here by quite a way and unless Gregg Williams has offered some pretty serious bonuses in the past week I don’t see how the Browns will keep up with them. Duke Johnson should get a lot of play again as they’ll likely be trailing for a lot of the game. Oh… Julio scored a TD! After 342 days he scored a touchdown!
This has probably, my favourite bet of the day at the odds, Duke Johnson Jnr anytime – 5/2 (Unibet) – 5 pts – NAP – Last week they used him everywhere all the time, and the Falcons are one of the worst in the league at defending pass catching RBs. 2+ is 20/1 on bet365 as well.
Falcons win, and cover.
Buffalo Bills (+7) @ NY Jets: Total – 37
Washington Redskins (+3) @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers: Total – 51.5
I was a little surprised to see the Buccs favourite here. However the Redskins lost most of their offensive line last week, the Buccs actually have a decent defensive line and obviously they’re at home so I guess the line makes sense. Maurice Harris is a man to look for in the props, with Paul Richardson out the season it seems like he’ll get a lot of targets as he did last week. The downfield threat is always there for the Buccs with Fitz under centre so they can score quickly if needed, OJ Howard may have broken out last week as well. Crowder is out again, Maurice Harris has 124 yards last week without him being on the field and the Redskins are shit against slot recieviers, so… Maurice Harris – o37.5 (PP) – 3 points
Buccs win, lean to the unders.
New England Patriots (-7) @ Tennessee Titans: Total – 46.5
Mike Vrabel hosts his old team. I don’t think that’ll help the Titans at all despite a decent win against the dogshit Cowboys on Monday. Dion Lewis is definitely the better of the runners there, but everything else about them still worries me, I was however happy to see Jonnu Smith get into the endzone last week, he should have a bigger role going forward. The Pats bashed together a team and comfortably beat Aaron Rodgers last week, Patterson and Gordon, both signings this year were both important last week, the return of Sony Michel this week should help them a lot as well. Josh Gordon will score this week, currently a best of 13/8 on Skybet, I’m hoping it’ll go higher by Sunday afternoon. Gordon 100 yards and a TD is 13/2 there too which is tempting.
Patriots win, and cover.
Los Angeles Chargers (-10) @ Oakland Raiders: Total – 50
10 points favourites. On the road! Again, it’s possible too short. The Raiders seem to have given up the season, Gruden is there for a decade and he’s going to take his time building a team he wants, whether it will eventually be any good is another thing. The Chargers however are great to watch, and have only lost to the Chiefs and Rams, their win in Seattle should have been a lot more comfortable than it was. Can’t go near a thing on the Oakland side here no matter the line or the odds.
Chargers win, nothing on handicap or total for me.
Seattle Seahawks (+10) @ Los Angeles Rams: Total – 51.5
10 point underdogs… on the road! Well, this is probably too many points to be giving Russell Wilson. They weren’t great last week but were still in with a chance at the end of the game, my boy David Moore not managing to snag a catch at the buzzer. The Rams were humbled slightly but came back impressively against the Saints and won’t have lost too much confidence from that result. They will want to bounce back quickly and should do so here.
Rams win, but Seahawks cover the spread
Dallas Cowboys (+6.5) @ Philadelphia Eagles: Total – 43.5
Goddamnit I hate the Cowboys, one thing I thought they could do was win at home and they screwed me over. Amari Cooper got a fair bit of action in his debut though and Dak threw for o240 yards for the first time in years but they really want to run the ball then run some more. The Eagles have one of the best run defenses in the league so should slow Zeke and they added Golden Tate this week to go alongside Agholor and Jeffery, it’s a good add and gives them more depth. Josh Adams looks like he’ll be taking a bigger role in the run game after doing well at Wembley last week.
Eagles win and cover.
NY Giants (+3) @ San Francisco 49ers: Total – 43.5
Nick Mullens will be starting at QB. He’ll surely face a tougher task than his debut last week, he did look good though, he will probably be the best QB on display no matter how good or bad he is here! Eli hasn’t been good, it’s actually a testament to Barkley how good he has been this year despite the QB and offensive line play. Not much else to say for this one. It’s a horrible Monday night game.
I instantly went to SF win. But, you know what, the Giants have to win another at some point. – Giants.
- Spencer Ware anytime – 5/1 (Unibet) – 1pt
- Jack Doyle o35.5 rec. yards – 5/6 skybet – 2 pts
- MVS anytime TD – 9/4 (Skybet) – 2 pts
- Anthony Miller o33.5 rec. yards – 10/11 (PP) – 2 pts
- Duke Johnson Jnr anytime – 5/2 (Unibet) – 5 pts – NAP
- DJJ 2 or more – 20/1 (bet365) – 1pt
- Maurice Harris – o37.5 (PP) – 3 points
- Miller and Harris yards double (PP) – 2 pts
That’s a total of 18 points.
Remember the Draftkings league! – https://www.draftkings.co.uk/draft/contest/63747218 – Nearly full already which is amazing, thank you! 16/20 at 2015 on Saturday night!
Good Luck with whatever you’re on, fingers crossed for some winners!