Week 8 – TNF – Washington Redskins @ Minnesota Vikings; #HTTR v #Skol

Not a long one for tonight. Honestly, it’s fairly late, I’ve had a shit day and I’ve got to pod in half hour or so! (Check out and subscribe to the Full10yards for a listen tomorrow)

And lets be fair this is yet another stinker served up to us on a Thursday night. There’s been some huge spreads on these prime-time games so far and this is no different.

REEEEEEEEEEEEVENNNNNNNNNNNNGE

For Keenum, For Cousins, For Peterson!

Redskins +17 @ Vikings: Total – 42

Write off last weeks game for the Redskins v 49ers for both team. It was played underwater.

Redskins

Biggest talking point, I guess is the health of Adrian Peterson who has a high ankle sprain and a low ankle sprain. He’s a beast who has wolverine blood running through his veins and the chance to take on his former team seemingly has him guaranteeing that he’ll play tonight. It’s an instant fade on his carries/yards for me though. His rush attempts are at 12.5 on BV (fuck betvictor) and his yards around 50, 53.5 on Victor the best to go under, 50.5 elsewhere if you did fancy the over. I think he’ll go under on both, but they’re too low for me to take it. If he doesn’t go, or is limited then they’re really limited at RB. Wendell Smallwood the man likely to somehow get the load? Fuck knows, either way it’s not good for a team with 55 rush attempts in the 2 games with their new head coach. Smallwood is set at 21.5 rush yards on 365.

The one real positive on the Redskins this year has been rookie Terry McLaurin. He’s been awesome with 51+ yards and/or a TD in all their proper games this season (again, ignoring last week) He should be able to get some yards against a Vikings side who historically very good on D, but have been getting a bit beaten up this year, allowing 4 TDs to Marvin Jones last week isn’t great. Anytime odds of 3.60 are pretty good for him actually over at Betfair. 25/1 for 2 or more on 365. The rest of their offense isn’t worth talking about, or their D which has been crap.

Vikings

A bit more interesting on this side of the ball. They’ve got one of the best RBs in the game this season, averaging over 100 per game this year, 8 TDs. He’s been awesome and this scheme is helping him and the offense as whole. Alexander Mattison has been good in the time he’s been given running the ball as well. He may well get some opportunities in the 4th quarter of this game is they run out to a lead like I think they will.

They are without Adam Thielen for this one who did his hamstring making a TD catch early on at the weekend. If it was a Sunday game he’d probably have been able to play. It means that Diggs will be the main man (86.5 at 2.00 on 365). Since he and Thielen had a bitch about how little of the ball they were getting the pair of them have been brilliant; 462 yards and 3 TDs (admittedly all in one game) in the last 4 for him personally. Olabisi Johnson has been getting increasingly involved in the passing game anyway, and was one of the beneficiaries after Thielen went down last week, finishing the game with 8 targets, 4 receptions for 40 and a TD. I don’t want to play him to score at 2.87 though. You can get him for over 41.5 yards at 1.91 on Betfair/PP.

Outside of him you could possibly look to the forgotten man, Laquon Treadwell. He’s had 1 reception this year. The tight ends are a better look in this one though, Kyle Rudolph found the endzone last week for his first of the year, he caught 5 of 6 for 58 yards. 27.5 yards on Betfair/PP and 4.5 the best price on him scoring. The rookie Irv Smith Jnr. chipped in as well and has looked good in the little he’s been able to do as well. 5.5 on Betfred is his best price for a TD, and his line at 24.5 in a few places, or o2.5 receptions at 2.38 on Skybet if you fancy that instead. His line at the weekend was 5 out of 6 for 60 yards.

Summary

There’s two way I think the Vikings go without Thielen, either run more, remember they started the season running and running and not much else despite it being sub-optimal… or they spread the ball around. Surely after the last few weeks they’ve had that’s the logical way to get this game wrapped up by half time?

I think the Vikings will cover the spread, but won’t be touching 17 points. I’d lean to the under as well as I’m not sure the Redskins put up too many points.

  • Irv Smith Jnr. o24.5 receiving yards – 1.85 (PP) – 2 points
  • Terry McLaurin 2 or more TDs – 25/1 (365) – 1 point

Was looking at Vikings to lead after every quarter, but 4/6 is horrible on that.

As always it’s TNF so Skybet have their RaB offer on – put £10 on Requests and get a free fiver. (This won’t be recorded on profit/loss, just telling you what I’m on, not really a recommendation)

First one I looked at, I quite like…

C.Keenum 200+ Pass Yds, K.Cousins 225+ Pass Yds, D.Cook 75+ Rush Yds & 1+ TD, T.Mclaurin & S.Diggs 50+ Rec Yds Each – 11/2

My free fiver? I usually look for a random 50/1+ shot. This week Dalvin Cook 1st, Terry last. – 50/1

Good Luck if you’re on.

Adam.

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