Week 9 SNF Betting picks

So, apologies for this post, not quite my best work but it’s pretty difficult putting this together on the train down the Wembley got the game.

If you’re going to Wembley enjoy the game, should be a good one. I’ll be in my Gio Bernard Jersey, can’t imagine there will be too many of them, so get me a beer!

No summary but a few notes going through the games and leans.

I have done more stuff on Sportsbookreview.com

Theres a post on https://mrfixitstips.co.uk/nfl-week-9-betting-picks/

And a bit on Gridiron Hubs tips too.

Jacksonville Jaguars +1 v Houston Texans: 47 – 1430 Kick off!

Simple one here, I think the Jags cover, they’re used to playing over here, kept the Texans to 13 points in Texas, and should have won that game after failing on a 2 pt conversion at the end of the game. The Jags are a better team now and should be able to get pressure on one-eyed Watson.

Jags +1
Buffalo Bills -10.5 v Washington Redskins: 37

Cant be having the Bills as double digit favourites against anyone in this league. Josh Allen loves to throw interceptions, the Redskins will want to run the ball, run it on second down and then run it some more.

Ok, scratch that, if Haskins is the starter it could be a bloodbath. Probably look for a price on him rushing in a TD, young QBs tend to take off easily.

Nothing on this one from me.
Carolina Panthers -3.5 v Tennessee Titans: 42.5

Tough one to call. I like Jonnu Smith again after he smashed it last week but the Panthers are good vs the pass. Henry should have a day against their poor rush defense though. The Panthers are CmcC and additional. I think there’s a chance Curtis Samuel misses out, he was out of practise on Friday apparently.

I think the Panthers win and cover, but no bet.
Miami Dolphins +3 v New York Jets: 42.5

The Dolphins don’t want to win. The Jets seem determined to upset everyone on their roster. I like Robby Anderson to have a good game tonight. His line 41.5 and 2/1 anytime. I like over and the score. The Dolphins put their best player on IR, cornerback Xavien Howard.
Philadelphia Eagles -4 v Chicago Bears: 41

Trubisky stinks.

The Eagles can stop the run, and have players back on the secondary. They’re the better team.

Lean to the Eagles win and cover.

Minnesota Vikings – 3.5 v Kansas City Chiefs: 47

No Mahomes. Vikings should win, they match up well and Cook should have a field day. Its another week of Matt Moore and he out up good yards last week. Its a non prime time slot though so Cousins should be fine.

Vikings win and cover.
Pittsburgh Steelers +1 v Indianapolis Colts: 44

Mason Rudolph is a joke. I love that they’ve traded away their first rounder next year because they’re so convinced he’s the future of the franchise and that the fans are buying it, everyone seems convinced they’ll still make the playoffs. Tomlin isn’t a good coach. They do have a very good defense though, I’ll give them that.

The Colts haven’t missed a beat with Brissett and have been solid, if a bit underwhelming. They’re without Ty Hilton though which is a big miss for them.

So surprisingly given my rant I think the Steelers might scrape this one. Lean to them on the spread and under the low total.

Oakland Raiders -3 v Detroit Lions: 51

Over over over. Should be a lot of points in this one. The Lions have no ring ame without Kerryon so will throw a lot and Stafford is very good at that. I like Kenny Golladay to score. The Raiders can put up points as well, Tyrell Williams has scored every game he’s played. Darren Waller is a machine.

Nothing on’t spread. Over on total, Golladay and Tyrell to score.
Seattle Seahawks -5 v Tampa Bay Buccaneers: 52

I can’t stop backing the Bucs, they have too much offensive talent, Evans and Godwin are the best pairing in the league. Jameis just needs to stop throwing to the other team.

Seahawks are 2-2 at home with a pt differential of -20, their two wins at the Clink have been by 1 pt each.

Bucs to cover.
Denver Broncos +4 v Cleveland Browns: 39

Big shift in the line since Flacco went to IR. Broncos opened as 1.5 faves which I was all over the Browns when they were getting points. They should still cover, and I’ll be honest I’m tempted with them making the playoffs at 5.00, they’re got 5 divisional games still, and if it all clicks they’d be a good team. That’s a big IF though. Coaching is a proper issue for them.

Not much to say on Broncos, rookie QB, probably a lot for Lindsay/Freeman in the pass game and Fant.
Los Angeles Chargers +3.5 v Green Bay Packers: 48.5

This is going to basically be a Packers home game, they should take over the vitality life health drug store stadium and are by far the better team at the moment. The Aaron’s are smashing shit up at the moment, and they might even have Davante Adams back.

Chargers have a new OC, probably won’t change much in week 1, but it will be interesting to see if anything does change. It will probably be a more run heavy approach as that’s where they’ve been struggling, and probably more touches for Ekeler.

I think the Packers cover.
Baltimore Ravens +3.5 v New England Patriots: 44.5`

Game of the weekend.

I really want to take the Ravens here but you don’t make money backing against the Patriots. On paper I think the Ravens are better, especially on offense as the Pats haven’t got going so far. Lamar is electric, I think the Pats will be able to slow him down, which really hurts the Ravens. The Pats D is historically good, but this is arguably the first test they’ve had so far this season.

No bets for me, should be very interesting to watch.

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