So the pre-season is finally complete, and the wait is almost over, football kicks off next Thursday night with the Superbowl re-match. (Carolina should win, although they should of won in February too, so who knows)
I’ve been looking into a few season long picks to go alongside Andys choice posted a few days ago – https://nfltipsblog.wordpress.com/2016/08/30/season-specials-andy_b_nfltips/
Top TD Scorer – (avoid 365 on this market, they’re half the price of most other places!)
This is a tough market to call as you never know what’s going to happen in one game, let alone over the whole season so i’ll try and justify my reasons…
Hardly a ground breaking pick, but I have to go for David Johnson at 11/1. There’s a lot of targets there, but I think he’s just that good, he can run, he can catch, he’ll get a lot of the ball, and although starting the season as the 4th string RB and not getting his first start as no.1 until Dec, he still managed to get 12 TDs last year. 8 on the ground and 4 through the air, as well as one on a kick return. With him expected to be the lead back this year from the start, I see no reason why he won’t be able to get a few more.
Second pick here (maybe a home team pick) – Jeremy Hill – He had a poor year last year, he looked hesitant, nervous, and finished the year with a fumble which cost the Bengals their first playoff win in 7000 years. BUT he still got through the season with 11 TDs, he remained the goalline back, and the main redzone runner, despite playing so badly. In pre-season he has looked back to his 2014 self, running with purpose and going hard through gaps, with the loss of Sanu and Jones in the passing game, it seems reasonable that the Bengals will run the ball more often opening up more chances for him to score, and at 28/1 on Skybet, you’ve got to have an each way dabble.
At much larger odds I feel I’ve got to mention CJ Anderson and Doug Baldwin at 50s and 80s respectively – Anderson will be starting with a QB who has never thrown a pass in the league, who’s only job is to not give the ball away, as Andy said in his yardage write up, with their defence still their strength, he’ll get a heck of a lot of the ball. – Baldwin was on fire down the stretch last year when Rawls was injured, ending with a Seahawks season long record of 14 TDs. It will depend on whether they stick with a passing game or revert to their usual running game, but at those odds he’s definitely worth a look.
- David Johnson – 7pts EW at 11/1 (SkyBet)
- Jeremy Hill – 5pts EW at 28/1 (Skybet)
- CJ Anderson and Doug Baldwin – 1pt EW @ 50/1 (BetVictor) and 80/1 (Skybet)
Total – 28pts.