So the opening match is out of the way, and showed quite well why you should stick to low stakes at the start of the season! The Panthers on paper should be beating the Broncos, and would of done had it not been for a missed 50yd kick with 6 seconds left. On the plus side 2 of the 4 suggested bets came in, although not at amazing odds, anyone who backed the o180.5 as well as u225 on Siemian would of been a little gutted as he was 3 yards off at 178. CJ Anderson had the game we thought he would, going for o100 combined yards and scoring 2 TDs (and 25+ pts for my fantasy team) So we finished with a slight loss on the tips I posted – The big story of the game though was the complete lack of flags for constant headshots to Panthers QB Cam Newton, something you can bet the NFL will be looking into.
Narrowing my thoughts down to only a few bets for the Sunday matches is going to be hard work with so many markets to choose from. I usually look for a few anytime TD scorers, and 2 or more TD scorers, a Tight End TD scorer accumulator usually end up with some decent odds, Skybet offer both players to score, which once the season gets going and there’s some solid numbers, should return some decent profit. Then there’s the usually handicap and point spreads. I’ll also have a look at a few individual player targets once they’re available on Sunday morning. Gio Bernard combined yards is usually something I look for.
As well as my opinions there will be a Weekly treble from former Football coach, NFL nerd and statistical genius Andy B (@Andy_B_NFLTips) which is promising some BIG odds!
I’ll get a post up tomorrow afternoon with my recommendations for the Sunday night and on monday there will be a post about the two monday night football matches, one of which will be watched considerably more intently than the other.
Potential big scoring matches – Colts v Lions, Raiders v Saints, Dolphins v Seahawks, Giants v Cowboys. – No rocket science here, and the bookies seem to know this too, strong offences v poor defences = points.
Tight ends I’m looking at – Zach Miller (Bears) Barnidge (Browns) Cook (Packers) Walker (Titans) Gates (Chargers) Walford (Raiders) – Some half decent odds on these lots and TEs are scoring more often these days in general.
Last season I also like the Score every quarter market, Raiders, Saints and Seahawks will be tempting on that line.
So that’s my strategy to at least start the season and we’ll see how things go, if we’re losing i’ll simplify it all, if it’s winning then i’ll keep on with it!