TNF – Denver at San Diego – 13/10/16 – @FootbawlTips

So, as expected, came back down to earth a little on Monday, although really should of had 2 bets land, the coaching on Monday was laughable, at some points, even embarrassing, both coaches seemed determined to make it difficult for their own teams, and in the end, the winning field goal came courtesy of a 15 yd penalty making it a 38 yard attempt rather than a 53 after second round rookie Roberto Aguayo had already missed 2 tries in the match. But only one team could lose and it was the Panthers, they tried to get Greg Olsen a TD that would of given us a healthy profit, but he had to settle for becoming the 3rd man in Panthers history to clear 180 yards, good for him, crap for us. He was downed at the 3 yard line on one run, and had a target from 1 yd out that was under-thrown and intercepted. Annoying, but at least my write up was pretty much on target on that aspect.

Week 6 begins with the San Diego Chargers hosting the tough Denver Broncos. The teams records going into this game are mirror images, but it could and should of been so different for the Chargers who week in, week out find new and exciting ways of throwing away big 4th quarter leads, 13 pts thrown away v the Saints with under 5 mins left, and this past week a snap being some how mis-handled on what would probably have been a game tying field goal (it still would of left 2 mins for the Raiders to engineer a score, but still) The Chargers this season have been winning in all but one of their games at half time (13-13 vs Colts) but are 1-4 thanks to not being able to see a game out.

On their side of the ball they love to throw it, despite suffering a new injury to a key player every week this season so far, they’ve kept competitive due to Philip Rivers’ amazing consistency season in, and season out, unfortunately for him he may go ultimately un-remembered as he won’t win a Superbowl ring, but he’s one of the best in the league. He’s been helping Dontralle Inman, Tyrell Williams, Hunter Henry, Antonio Gates and Melvin Gordon get into the end zone this year, and one their nights they’ve all put up good games so far. Gordon in particular stepping into the passing game since Danny Woodhead went down, has scored every week, unfortunately he’s also fumbled at crucial times the last couple of weeks, but he’s finally found the end zone and he likes it, scoring 7 in total so far this season, the Broncos have been hurt on the ground so far, so he may well see that go up, although he’s not faced anything like Denver so far. – Gates looks like he’s regaining his fitness and played a lot of Sundays match, although Hunter Henry was the more active, and both got into the end zone. The issue for San Diego this week is that they will have to pass, and doing that is exactly what this Denver defence wants them to do, it will be a tough task for the Rivers, and the Chargers. One positive for the Chargers last week was Joey Bosa getting on the fields, he didn’t play many snaps, but he was effective in each of them, and the Chargers will be hoping he can break through the Broncos D-line like the Falcons did with regularity last week.

The Broncos will likely have Trevor Simian back at QB, no-one would of thought that would of been such a big bonus at the start of the season, but Paxton Lynch showed last week that he’s not yet ready for the big leagues. Simian had been hitting his stride before suffering a shoulder injury, and Manny Sanders and Demarius Thomas’ numbers had been great for through weeks 3 and 4, 100+yds each v the Bengals and 88 and 94 v the Buccs in week 5, and a TD each in each of those games. Sanders to me is the most trustworthy yardage wise, so i’ll be looking towards him. Denver opening up the passing game has led to a downturn in CJ Andersons work-load, and he’s been steadily dropping lower over these last few weeks, coupled with Devontae Booker being worked into the games, it doesn’t look quite so rosy for Anderson as the first couple of weeks did. Many suggested that Booker went into Denver and instantly become the best runner there, and that may be proving true. That’s about it on offence for Denver. But their defence is the reason they win their matches, it’s fearsome, Aqib Talib has been on fire so far this term, one of the “shutdown” corners that they have out there, they’ve not allowed a QB rating over 100 for a long time now, and although I like Rivers, that may not change tonight.

Recommendations for the night- (2pts on each, except the pts in qtrs)

  • Defensive/ST touchdown scored – 13/8 (365)
  • HT/FT – Chargers/Broncos – 15/2 (Boylesport, Unibet) (7/1 at Ladbrokes, bit more mainstream)
  • Devontae Booker anytime – 14/5 (bet365)
  • Booker o26.5 rush yards – 5/7 (365)
  • Total pts – 043.5 – 10/11 (Skybet)
  • Points scored in every quarter – Evens – 5pts (Skybet request a bet)

15pts total outlay – Good luck if following! For a match I was struggling with, I’ve actually probably gone a bit over the top, but everything is trending towards booker being involved more, and I think this could be sneakily quite high scoring.

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