So Thursday night football very nearly went to plan, the Jets won quite convincingly, unfortunately for me, by 6 pts, and not the 7-12 I posted, Marshall went for over 100 yards, but no TD, he would of had one, but got hauled down by the facemask, and unbelievably the request a bet failed due to Fitz only throwing for 1 TD, despite 374yds passing, very frustrating to hit the post on every one, but at larger odds you only need one to clear the loss.
First up on Sunday night sees the Bengals travel to Heinz field to take on the Steelers. This is quickly becoming one of the most heated rivalries in the league, and the way the Bengals capitulated at the end of the playoff game that they lost (a yearly tradition) last season still haunts me to this day. That match led to a suspension for Vontaze Burfict and I’m sure it’s no coincidence that the league scheduled this match for one of the games he misses. They lost several targets in free agency and have replaced them with rookie Tyler Boyd and Brandon LaFell, both of whom assisted one of the leagues best receivers, AJ Green, who smoked Darrelle Revis for 180 yards last week, LaFell himself went for 91 yds and Boyd did well, tight end CJ Uzomah get in on the act with 59 yards as well, although most of that came from one run. Talking of runs, there were essentially none. Hill and Bernard really struggled against a solid Jets front line, Hill managed to get into the end zone though. The Bengals have a highly regarded O-line which failed to stop the Jets last week, allowing 7 sacks on Andy Dalton, who still threw for 366 yards.
The Steelers took on Washington in week 1 and couldn’t of done much better, DeAngelo Williams and Antonio Brown both going in twice. Even without LeVeon Bell they were as potent as ever, Williams would walk into most teams in the league as an every week starter, and while AJ Green is one of the leagues best, Antonio Brown is the leagues best, although the Bengals have seen him a lot and historically have kept him to 60yds below his average on previous games, unfortunately that still means around 100yds! Outside of the two blue chip players, they have a bevy of receivers to chose from despite Bryants year long suspension, and Eli Rogers stepped up last week with a TD. Marcus Wheaton is expected to be back today, and Sammie Coates will also be involved, one of those guys will score, but I couldn’t tell you who! Jesse James will be in at TE, and with the Bengals CBs usually quite effective against the receivers, Heath Miller usually got a lot of targets when playing them, so you can expect James to as well.
Green, Williams & Brown to combine for +299.5 yds & score 3.5tds between them – 7/1, Jesse James – over 25.5yds – 10/11 (Both Skybet)
The 2125 kick off see the Rams return to LA to face the Seahawks; The Rams were embarrassed last week against many people 2nd worst team in the league, losing 28-0 to the 49ers, who held star player Todd Gurley to just 47yds on the ground. They showed how to play the Rams who have no other weapons. Just stuff the box, give him 8 men to run against and they’re essentially done. Their QB was the worst in the league last week and their options are practically zero. That being said they do have a highly touted defence, who hugely under-performed, it’s their first game back in LA, so it should be a highly charged atmosphere, and they somehow seem to have a bit of a curse against the Seahawks.
The Seahawks struggled to break down a solid Dolphins defence last week, and their offensive line was ranked as the worst in the league, giving Russell Wilson a lot of scrambling to do, one of those scrambles damaged his ankle (sprained) and left him less mobile, but he still found Baldwin for a TD with less than 30 seconds left on the clock to scrape the win for his team. Thomas Rawls is back in as starter this week after being second to Michael last week who ran well. Baldwin, Kearse and Lockett will all be targeted, with Baldwin starting in the slot a lot, and the Rams being poor against that last week, expect him to get the lions share of the targets.
Baldwin anytime – 6/4 (SkyBet)
The final match on TV for the night sees the Vikings open their new stadium by hosting Green Bay. The Vikings offence was blunt last week without Teddy Bridgewater, and Adrian Peterson had one of the worst games he’s had in recent years only rushing for only 31 yards, in the passing game Shaun Hill actually put up some decent numbers with 236 yards, nearly half of them to Stefon Diggs. But it was their defence that won them the game last week with 2 scores, a pick 6 and a fumble recovery taken to the house. It’s hard to tell what this team can do, their defence is obviously very good, and if Peterson bounces back as you would expect then they’ll definitely be better! Expect Diggs and Rudolph to continue being the main targets as they work on offence.
The Packers ground out a tight win against the Jags last week, but got the job done, Jordy Nelson scored on his return but didn’t look match fit, he admitted as much afterwards. Aaron Rodgers performed his usual miracles providing a pass to Adams that no other QB in the league would of managed for a score. His box score was less impressive though, as he only managed 199 yards, he’s up against another good defence today, but you’d imagine he’ll find a way through. Randall Cobb and Devontae Adams did their jobs as 2 and 3, but their tight ends disappointed in the passing game. Eddie Lacy looked good rushing, and should do well again.
Packers to win by 1-6 points – 16/5
Bets from elsewhere –
Tight End Trixie – (1pt, 4 total) – Virgil Green (Den) 13/8, Dennis Pitta (Bal) 7/4, Delanie Walker (Ten) 17/10
Carolina and NY Giants to score every quarter – 5.25/1 – 5pts
BPTS Trixie – (1pt, 4 total) – Shepherd/Cooks (Giants v Saints) 5/1 – DeSean Jackson/Zeke (Redskins v Cowboys) 7/1 – Miller/Ware (Texans v KC) 8/1
Single on Miller/Ware both to score – 8/1 – 4pts
Summary – 2pts each on bet365 unless stated –
- Green, Williams, Brown Request-a-bet – 7/1
- Jesse James o25.5 yards – 10/11 (Skybet)
- Baldwin anytime – 6/4 (Skybet)
- Green Bay to win by 1-6 pts – 5/1
- Tight end trixie – 4pts
- Carolina and Giants to score every quarter – 5.25/1 – 5pts
- Both players to score trixie – 4pts
- Miller/Ware both to score – 8/1 – 4pts
Total Outlay – 25pts.
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