TNF – Dolphins at Bengals – 29/9/16 (and a look towards Wembley) – @FootbawlTips

MNF Hit me a bit this week, I relied a lot on Jacob Tamme scoring a TD and, well, he didn’t Tevin Coleman stole them all, 3 of them for just over 40 yards. A proper goal line vulture.

Tonight though sees the stuttering Miami Dolphins, travelling to the Queen City to face the equally stuttering Bengals. Both teams come into the game 1-2 and a defeat would make it tough for either to reach the playoffs this season. While their records are the same, the way they’ve got to those records couldn’t be more different. The Bengals have faced 3 very tough teams, scraping a win against the Jets in week 1, falling to the Steelers, as usual in Heinz field, in week 2 and stuffing the run to force Siemian to throw it, unfortunately quite successfully in week 3. However, 1-2 isn’t THAT bad from those three games, and the schedule finally gets easier. Last week especially showed some promise with them finally able to get a ground game going, Jeremy Hill cracking off a 97 yds in the game, and getting into the end zone twice. The passing game struggled, there were numerous drops, again, and they’ll have to cut them out to make sure they move the ropes quickly against a poor Miami secondary. AJ Green managed 77yds v Denver, which is usually a bad thing, but against that defence, isn’t THAT awful, he could easily have a field day here, and Dalton will target him, alongside Tyler Boyd who’s performed admirably in the first 3 weeks of the season supporting Green. Even Brandon LaFell has had a good game at the start of the season. Unfortunately for the Bengals the game comes a few games too early for last seasons team top TD scorer Tyler Eifert, who probably would of played had it been a Sunday matchup, he’s definitely one to back in next weeks matches.

The Miami Dolphins got to their 1-2 by scraping to a win against the Browns, who by many peoples opinions are the worst team in the league. They would of lost had the kicker Cleveland had picked up off the street 3 days earlier had known how to actually kick a football through the uprights. But they managed the win thanks to an overtime Jay Ajayi TD run. The first two weeks they lost to the Seahawks (performed well, should of won but had no offence) and the Patriots (game was over by 25 mins in before Garoppolo got injured and they scored a few after) This week they’ll face a returning Vontaze Burfict who should breathe new life into the Cinci defence. Ryan Tannenhill has done what he does, mixing in interceptions with touchdown passes, although he can, somehow, set a record for most consecutive completed passes tonight with just a few more to start the game. His main target is the ever consistent Jarvis Landry, while not a prolific TD scorer, is definitely a prolific pass catcher, generally short targets á la Julian Edelman for the Pats. He’s achieved 7, 10 and 7 catches in the first 3 weeks notching up 316 yards from them. He is good after the catch. DeVante Parker is the downfield threat for the Dolphins and they’ll try and exploit the matchups that Denver did last week against Adam Jones, and his understudy who were culpable for at least 2 scores. The run game is a mess, Tannenhill himself leads the team with 54 yards through three games. Kenyan Drake was supposed to be the main back last week, but did little, and Ajayi stole the winning TD, Isiah Pead also chipped in with a few carries. Their defensive line is decent, Suh and Williams could be a danger.

  • Hill anytime – 10/11 (WilliamHill)
  • DeVante Parker anytime – 11/4 – (SkyBet, WillHill)
  • Parker and Hill both to score – 5/1 (SkyBet)
  • Bengals to score every quarter – 13/8
  • Tyler Boyd o32.5 rec. yards – 5/6 (PP)
  • Landry o6.5 receptions – 5/6
  • Pead anytime scorer – 18/1 (0.5 pts) 

That’s my thoughts on the Thursday night match, the Bengals SHOULD win quite comfortably and I really hope that’s the case, I have had a little nibble on Isiah Pead anytime because of the odds, although I don’t think it will happen, its worth the tiny stake.

The weeks also sees the first international series match, Wembley sees the Jaguars host the Colts. This should be a very high scoring match, neither team has an all round game, but both can attack if they’re on their game, Andrew Luck is viewed by many as rather good, and Blake Bortles, although unable to get it going can put up some serious points if needs be, and they probably will. The points total is set to 49 at the moment, and I’m pretty sure that will get beaten. The TD scorers aren’t up yet, but i’ll be looking for Robinson 2 or more, Jack Doyle anytime, TY Hilton anytime, possibly even Julius Thomas anytime, and more than likely either team to score every qtr, Colts currently 9/4, Jags 11/4. – An interesting little stat, Blake Bortles has only ever thrown 3 first quarter TDs in his career. – The Jaguars need to win, I think if they lose, and go 0-4, their season is over, and Gus Bradley will be relieved of his job there.

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